Tuesday, August 18, 2020

The Atlantic has two Invests, 97 and 98. Invent 97 is in the Caribbean,and has 30% chance of forming in 48 hours and 70% chance of forming in 5 days. It is too far out to predict impacts to United States. Invest 98 is east of the Lesser Antilles and has 80% chance of forming in 48 hours and 90% chance in 5 days. Impacts to the Lesser Antilles from Invest 98 are uncertain as of now.   


In the Pacific Major Hurricane Genevieve has 130 mph and is expected to strengthen to 150 mph just 10 mph short of category 5 strength and then start to weaken. Genevieve is expected to stay offshore but tropical storm warnings and watches are in effect for the bottom of the Baja California.    

Saturday, August 15, 2020

In the Atlantic, Tropical Depression 11 formed on Tuesday and became Tropical Storm Josephine on Thursday. Josephine is the earliest 10th named storm in the Atlantic by 9 days. Josephine is expected to weaken to a Tropical depression on Monday and become Post-Tropical on Wednesday. Josephine is not a threat to The United State.

Tropical Storm Kyle formed yesterday.Kyle became the earliest 11th named storm in the Atlantic by 10 days. Kyle has 50 mph winds and is expected to reach 60 mph while moving away from The United States. Kyle is expected to become Post-Tropical Sunday night into Monday.

In the Pacific Tropical Depression 10 formed on Thursday and is expected to stay at Tropical Depression strength for the next 5 days.     

Thursday, July 23, 2020

In the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Gonzalo had strengthened to winds of max winds 65 mph today, but now is at 60 mph. Gonzalo is expected to be a hurricane before it reaches the Windward Islands. There are hurricane watches and tropical storm watches issued for parts of the Windward Islands.

In the Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression Eight formed in the Atlantic last night. Eight is expected to be a tropical storm tonight or tomorrow. Tropical storm warnings and watches have been issued for most of the Texas coastline.

In the Eastern Pacific, Douglas strengthen to a 125 mph Category 3 Major Hurricane, but is expected to start weakening soon. Douglas could affect Hawaii as a weak category 1 hurricane or Strong tropical Storm.

An Area in the Atlantic coming off Africa has a 30% chance to form in 5 days.

Wednesday, July 22, 2020


Tropical Depression Seven formed yesterday at 5 EST in the Atlantic. Tropical Depression Seven strengthen to Tropical Storm Gonzalo at 8:50 EST today. Gonzalo has 50 mph wind as of 5 pm. Gonzalo is a small storm; small storms can fluctuate in strength. Gonzalo beat the earliest seventh named storm by two days. Gonzalo is expected to be the first Atlantic hurricane of 2020. Gonzalo could impact the windward islands as strong Tropical Storm.

Invest 91 has an 80% chance to form in the next 5 days in the Gulf of Mexico. If Invest 91 forms and strengthens to tropical storm strength it will be given the name Hanna.

Douglas became the first hurricane of the Eastern Pacific 2020 season. Douglas is expected to reach winds of 115 mph. Douglas could impact the Hawaiian Island as a strong Tropical Storm.     

Tuesday, July 14, 2020





Tropical Storm Dolly had max wind of 45 mph. 




Tropical Storm Edouard beat the fifth named storm record by 5 days. Edouard’s max wind speed was 45 mph.


Tropical Storm Fay was the earliest sixth named storm on record by 12 days. Fay formed off the outer banks of North Carolina. Fay strengthen to 60 mph but weakened to 50 mph at landfall. Fay Made landfall close to Atlantic city NJ.



Tropical Storm Cristina was the strongest storm in the Atlantic or the Pacific as of now for the 2020 season with max winds of 70 mph.

Track from The National Hurricane Center
Tropical Depression Six-E formed yesterday but now it is not expected to reached tropical storm strength.

Monday, July 6, 2020

Tropical depression 5 formed on Saturday strengthening as tropical storm Edouard last night making it the earliest fifth named storm in the Atlantic. Invest 98 L moved over land and if it moves back over water it could form. Invest 98 L has a 10% chance of forming in 48 hours and 40% chance in 5 days. Another area in the Atlantic has a 10% chance of forming in 48 hours and 5 days.

     In the eastern Pacific Invest 97 E will likely be a tropical depression in the next couple of days with an 80% chance of forming in 48 hours and 90% chance in 5 days. Another area has a 20% chance of forming in 48 hours and 30% chance in 5 days.

Saturday, July 4, 2020


Invest 97 in the Atlantic has a 60 percent chance of forming in 48 hours and 60 percent in 5 days. Invest 97 is not a threat to the United states. Invest 97 could impact Bermuda. 

Thursday, July 2, 2020


The National Weather Service has issued Heat advisories for an area from central Texas to southeastern Kansas and southwestern Missouri to northeastern Louisiana. In the middle of that area the National Weather Service has issued an Excessive Heat warning in eastern Oklahoma the excessive heat warning area is expected to have heat index values of 110-115. The National Hurricane Center has a area in the Eastern Pacific with a 20% chance of forming in 48 hours and 30% in 5 days.   

Tuesday, June 30, 2020

Tropical depression Four-e formed in the pacific last night and is not expected to reach tropical storm strength. Four-e is expected to become a remnant low today. It with be hot in some places today with heat advisories up in the central USA from Central Texas to Kansas. Also, some advisories up in parts of south of Texas and parts of the Georgia coastline.
Update at 10:00am EDT advisories now on parts of South Carolina coastline.

Monday, June 29, 2020

Recapping the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific hurricane season





The Atlantic hurricane started off in May when tropical storm Arthur formed just north of the Bahamas and moved north east while strengthening and coming close to the outer banks with 60-mph winds. The Outer Banks saw some winds and rain with Arthur but the center stayed off shore.


Tropical Storm Bertha formed in May also. Bertha formed right off the South Carolina coast. Bertha made landfall a couple hours later just northeast of Charleston, SC, with 50-mph.  
Before I can talk about Cristobal, I have to talk about how it formed from Amanda.Tropical Storm Amanda formed in the Pacific Ocean off the coast of Central America making landfall as a 40-mph storm on the same day. Amanda moved north and dissipated over land, but the remains of Amanda moved over the Bay of Campeche in the Atlantic Ocean and formed Tropical Storm Cristobal over the next days.

Cristobal strengthened to 60-mph at landfall in Mexico.  After being over land Cristobal weakened to a tropical depression when coming close to water but still over land Cristobal strengthen to a tropical storm. Cristobal made landfall again as a 50-mph storm near New Orleans.

Tropical storm Boris formed in the eastern Pacific and only held tropical storm strength for less then a day. Boris crossed over into the Central Pacific which is between 140W – 180W as a tropical depression. Boris was the second June tropical cyclone in the basin since 1966.

Tuesday, June 23, 2020


Photo by AccuWeather

Tropical storm Dolly forms in the Atlantic today with wind speeds of 45 Mph. Dolly is only expected to live for 24 more hours because of colder waters. Dolly is the third earliest named D storm in the Atlantic. Dolly will be the first named storm this season that will not impact the USA with winds and rain.  

Tuesday, April 28, 2020

First Tropical Depression in the Pacific

Earliest Tropical Depression on Record in Eastern Pacific ...
Photo from Weather Underground
In the eastern Pacific, tropical depression one-e formed on Saturday and dissipated on Sunday afternoon. Tropical depression one- e did not reach tropical storm strength so it did not receive the name Amanda. Tropical depression one-e was the earliest tropical depression in satellite era (1966-present).